The claims of Section S2.3 #
This file completes the claims of Section S2.3 of the supplementary material that follow
Proposition S2, following the paper: 'Moreover, the null distributions of X² are absolutely
continuous with respect to Q₂. For s ≠ 1, Proposition S1(i) and (S16) therefore give Γ₂ > 0,
and Proposition 1 gives Γ_T ≥ Γ₂ > 0 for every T ≥ 2.' The setting of Sections 1 and 2 for the
Gaussian location model is Proposition 2 (setting_gaussNumeraire_mixAlt), and Proposition S1(i)
is Setting.exists_isEProcess_versions.
minimaxRegret_gaussNumeraire_pos:Γ_T > 0fors ≠ 1andT ≥ 2;sec_notep_proof: the statementsec_notep.
theorem
LogOptimal.minimaxRegret_gaussNumeraire_pos
{s ρ : ℝ}
(hs : 0 < s)
(hs1 : s ≠ 1)
(hρ : 1 - s ^ 2 ≤ ρ ^ 2)
(T : ℕ)
:
2 ≤ T → 0 < minimaxRegret gaussNull (mixAlt s ρ) (gaussNumeraire s) T
Positivity of the minimax regret (Section S2.3): for s ≠ 1 and ρ² ≥ 1 − s²,
Γ_T ≥ Γ₂ > 0 for every T ≥ 2, by Proposition S1(i), eq. (S16), and Proposition 1.
theorem
LogOptimal.sec_notep_proof
(s ρ : ℝ)
:
0 < s →
s ≠ 1 →
0 ≤ ρ →
1 - s ^ 2 ≤ ρ ^ 2 →
(∀ (θ : ℝ) (x : ℕ → ℝ),
1 < notepCond s θ x ↔ if s < 1 then (x 0 - θ) ^ 2 < (1 + s ^ 2) / (1 - s ^ 2) * Real.log (2 / (1 + s ^ 2))
else (1 + s ^ 2) / (1 - s ^ 2) * Real.log (2 / (1 + s ^ 2)) < (x 0 - θ) ^ 2) ∧ ¬IsEProcess gaussNull (gaussNumeraire s) ∧ (∀ P ∈ gaussNull, (marginal P 2).AbsolutelyContinuous (marginal (mixAlt s ρ) 2)) ∧ ∀ (T : ℕ), 2 ≤ T → 0 < minimaxRegret gaussNull (mixAlt s ρ) (gaussNumeraire s) T